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Statistics

Estimation, inference, regression, and statistical model evaluation -- built on probability, in service of reasoning carefully about data.

Free to read now, no account needed: Readiness: what statistics leans on. Create a free account to open the other chapters, take the quizzes and keep your progress.

1 What statistics is πŸ”’

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  • Deterministic vs. statistical questions ~8 min
  • Populations, samples, and the inference gap ~8 min
  • Parameters vs. statistics ~8 min
  • Descriptive vs. inferential statistics ~8 min
  • Observations, variables, and the data matrix ~8 min
  • Qualitative vs. quantitative variables ~8 min
  • Discrete vs. continuous variables ~8 min
  • Levels of measurement ~10 min
  • What a statistic cannot tell you ~8 min

2 Collecting data πŸ”’

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  • Census vs. sample ~6 min
  • Observational studies vs. experiments, previewed ~8 min
  • Simple random sampling ~8 min
  • Stratified sampling ~8 min
  • Cluster sampling ~8 min
  • Systematic sampling ~6 min
  • Convenience and voluntary-response sampling ~8 min
  • Undercoverage and sampling bias ~8 min
  • Nonresponse and response bias ~8 min
  • Choosing a sampling design ~8 min

3 Designing experiments πŸ”’

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  • Experimental units and treatments ~8 min
  • Control groups and the placebo effect ~8 min
  • Randomization and why it works ~8 min
  • Replication and blocking ~8 min
  • Matched-pairs designs ~8 min
  • Confounding variables ~8 min
  • Blinding and double-blinding ~6 min
  • Causation vs. correlation: a first pass ~8 min
  • Ethical considerations in experiments ~6 min
  • Reading a study's design critically ~8 min

4 Displaying one variable πŸ”’

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  • Raw data to a frequency table ~8 min
  • Relative and cumulative frequency ~8 min
  • Choosing class intervals ~8 min
  • The histogram ~8 min
  • Bar charts and pie charts, categorical data ~8 min
  • Dot plots and stem-and-leaf plots ~8 min
  • Line graphs and time series ~8 min
  • The box plot, previewed ~8 min
  • Scatterplots, previewed ~6 min
  • Choosing the right display ~8 min

5 Measures of center πŸ”’

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  • The mean ~6 min
  • The median ~8 min
  • The mode ~6 min
  • Mean from a frequency table ~8 min
  • The trimmed mean ~8 min
  • Mean vs. median under skew ~8 min
  • Resistant vs. non-resistant measures ~8 min
  • Choosing a measure of center ~8 min

6 Measures of spread πŸ”’

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  • The range ~6 min
  • Deviations from the mean ~7 min
  • Variance, defined ~8 min
  • Standard deviation and its units ~7 min
  • Population vs. sample standard deviation ~8 min
  • The interquartile range ~7 min
  • The mean absolute deviation ~6 min
  • Comparing spread across datasets ~7 min
  • Why standard deviation, not variance, for interpretation ~6 min

7 Position, percentiles, and standardization πŸ”’

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  • Percentiles and quantiles ~7 min
  • Quartiles and the five-number summary ~7 min
  • The interquartile range, revisited ~6 min
  • The 1.5Γ—IQR outlier rule ~8 min
  • The z-score ~7 min
  • Standardizing a distribution ~6 min
  • Comparing scores across different distributions ~8 min
  • Reading a box plot ~7 min

8 From sample to sampling distribution πŸ”’

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  • A statistic is a random variable, revisited ~7 min
  • Simulating the sampling distribution of a mean ~8 min
  • Simulating the sampling distribution of a proportion ~7 min
  • Conditions for the normal approximation ~8 min
  • Standard error, applied ~7 min
  • Effect of sample size on standard error ~7 min
  • Bias vs. variability in an estimator ~8 min
  • Where probability ends and statistics begins ~6 min

9 Confidence intervals: the idea πŸ”’

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  • Point estimates vs. interval estimates ~6 min
  • What a margin of error is ~6 min
  • Building a confidence interval from a standard error ~8 min
  • Confidence level, defined ~7 min
  • What 95% confidence does mean ~8 min
  • What 95% confidence does not mean ~8 min
  • Confidence level vs. precision ~7 min
  • Reading a reported confidence interval ~7 min

10 Confidence intervals for a mean πŸ”’

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  • The one-sample z interval, known sigma ~7 min
  • Why sigma is rarely known in practice ~6 min
  • The Student's t distribution ~8 min
  • Degrees of freedom ~7 min
  • The one-sample t interval ~8 min
  • Conditions for a valid t interval ~7 min
  • Sample size and interval width ~7 min
  • Choosing z vs. t ~6 min

11 Confidence intervals for a proportion πŸ”’

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  • The sample proportion as an estimator ~6 min
  • The one-proportion z interval ~8 min
  • Conditions for a valid proportion interval ~7 min
  • Margin of error for a proportion ~6 min
  • Choosing a sample size in advance ~8 min
  • Proportions in polling, an applied read ~6 min

12 Hypothesis testing: the logic πŸ”’

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  • The null and alternative hypotheses ~7 min
  • Assuming the null to judge the evidence ~7 min
  • The test statistic ~7 min
  • The p-value ~8 min
  • Significance level, alpha ~7 min
  • The critical-region view ~7 min
  • Type I and Type II errors ~8 min
  • The power of a test ~8 min
  • Statistical vs. practical significance ~7 min
  • One-tailed vs. two-tailed tests ~8 min

13 One-sample tests πŸ”’

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  • The one-sample z test for a mean ~7 min
  • The one-sample t test for a mean ~7 min
  • The one-sample test for a proportion ~7 min
  • Matching a test to its conditions ~6 min
  • The test-interval duality ~7 min
  • Interpreting a p-value correctly ~6 min
  • Common p-value misreadings ~6 min
  • Writing a full test conclusion ~6 min

14 Comparing two groups πŸ”’

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  • Independent vs. paired samples ~6 min
  • The sampling distribution of a difference in means ~7 min
  • The two-sample t test, independent samples ~8 min
  • Pooled vs. unpooled variance ~8 min
  • The paired t test ~7 min
  • The two-sample z test for proportions ~7 min
  • Confidence interval for a difference ~7 min
  • Effect size, a first look ~6 min
  • Choosing the right two-group procedure ~8 min

15 Categorical data and chi-square πŸ”’

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  • Contingency tables ~6 min
  • Expected counts under independence ~7 min
  • The chi-square statistic ~7 min
  • The chi-square distribution's shape ~6 min
  • The chi-square goodness-of-fit test ~8 min
  • The chi-square test of independence ~8 min
  • The chi-square test of homogeneity ~8 min
  • Conditions and common misuses ~7 min

16 Correlation πŸ”’

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  • Scatterplots and association, revisited ~6 min
  • Strength and direction of a linear relationship ~7 min
  • The Pearson correlation coefficient ~8 min
  • Interpreting r ~7 min
  • Correlation is not causation, formalized ~7 min
  • Outliers and influential points on r ~7 min
  • When correlation is the wrong tool ~7 min

17 Linear regression πŸ”’

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  • The least-squares line ~7 min
  • Slope and intercept, interpreted ~6 min
  • Making a prediction from the line ~5 min
  • Residuals ~6 min
  • The residual plot ~6 min
  • R^2, the proportion of variance explained ~7 min
  • Standard error of the regression ~6 min
  • Conditions for a valid linear model ~7 min
  • Extrapolation ~6 min
  • Influential points on the regression line ~7 min

18 Multiple regression πŸ”’

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  • Adding a second predictor ~8 min
  • Interpreting a partial-slope coefficient ~8 min
  • Multiple R^2 and adjusted R^2 ~9 min
  • Categorical predictors as dummy variables ~8 min
  • Multicollinearity ~8 min
  • Interaction effects, a first look ~8 min
  • Prediction vs. explanation ~8 min
  • Reading a multiple-regression output table ~8 min

19 Analysis of variance πŸ”’

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  • Comparing more than two means at once ~7 min
  • Within-group and between-group variation ~8 min
  • The F-statistic ~8 min
  • Reading an ANOVA table ~7 min
  • One-way ANOVA ~8 min
  • Post-hoc comparisons, a first look ~8 min
  • Conditions for ANOVA ~8 min

20 Nonparametric methods πŸ”’

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  • When parametric conditions fail ~6 min
  • Rank-based methods, the idea ~6 min
  • The sign test ~7 min
  • The Wilcoxon signed-rank test ~8 min
  • The Mann-Whitney U test ~8 min
  • Trade-offs against a parametric test ~7 min

21 Reading statistical output πŸ”’

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  • What software adds beyond a hand calculation ~6 min
  • Reading a regression output table ~8 min
  • Reading an ANOVA output table ~7 min
  • Reading a hypothesis-test output block ~7 min
  • Data-cleaning judgment calls ~7 min
  • Reproducibility as a habit, not a tool ~6 min

22 Statistical reasoning in the wild πŸ”’

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  • Misinterpreting a p-value ~6 min
  • Misinterpreting a confidence interval ~6 min
  • Selection bias and survivorship bias ~7 min
  • Simpson's paradox ~8 min
  • The ecological fallacy ~7 min
  • Regression to the mean ~7 min
  • The multiple-comparisons problem ~7 min
  • Misleading visualizations ~6 min
  • Small-sample overreach ~6 min
  • Overfitting a model ~7 min