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Area under a curve as a proportion

~8 min

Chapters 10, 12, and 15 all use the same picture to answer a probability question. You shade a region under a curve, then read the shaded area as the answer. That works because area under a density curve is a proportion. That fact is worth re-anchoring now, before later chapters rely on it without comment. This idea was first taught in Calculus II. This course builds only on Probability directly, though. So the review below draws on this section's own check bank, not on Calculus II's questions.

Picture the whole curve's area as a single pie, worth 100% of the outcomes. Shading part of the curve just cuts a slice from that pie. The slice's size is the proportion of outcomes it stands for. Nothing tricky about that.

Consider a continuous variable with density f(x) on an interval. The proportion of outcomes falling between c and d equals the area under the curve there. That area is \displaystyle\int_c^d f(x)\,dx. The total area under the whole curve is exactly 1. This matches the "everything sums to 1" rule from the last section. Here, it's written as an integral instead of a finite sum.

Shading a probability as area

Drag the interval endpoints and watch the shaded area — and the probability readout — change together.

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Worked example

Proportion above a threshold

  1. 1

    A quantity is spread evenly over [0, 2], so its density is the constant f(x) = 0.5. What proportion of outcomes exceed 1.5?

  2. 2

    The region from 1.5 to 2 is a rectangle: width 2 - 1.5 = 0.5, height 0.5.

  3. 3
    \boxed{0.5 \times 0.5 = 0.25 - \text{25\% of outcomes exceed 1.5}}

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Worked example

Total area confirms a valid density

  1. 1

    Confirm that f(x) = 0.5 on [0,2] is a valid density.

  2. 2

    Total area is base times height for this constant curve: (2-0)(0.5) = 1.

  3. 3
    \boxed{\text{Valid} - \text{the whole area is exactly 1, as any probability density needs}}

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Where this goes next

Confidence intervals and p-values, chapters 09-13

A p-value is literally a shaded tail area under a curve. A confidence interval's coverage is a shaded middle area. Neither of those later pictures needs new mathematics beyond what's here. They just need this exact "area equals proportion" fact. Here, it applies to a specific curve instead of a flat one.

Check your understanding (counts toward your progress)

A density curve has f(2) = 1.4. What does this number represent?

Correct! 🎉 Not quite.

Right on try — credit. Right — the answer had already been shown, so no credit this time. Next try is worth Answer shown after three tries — this one no longer earns credit. You chose to see the answer — this one earns no credit.

A single point under a continuous density has probability 0 — f(2) is a density, not a probability.

A density value can legitimately exceed 1; only a probability itself is capped at 1.

Why

A density's height is not a probability — only the area under it over an interval is. Densities routinely exceed 1 as long as the total area still equals 1.

Explain, in the language of this section, why the total area under any valid density curve must equal exactly 1.

A density is uniform on [0, 5]. What proportion of outcomes exceed 4?

Correct! 🎉 Not quite.

Right on try — credit. Right — the answer had already been shown, so no credit this time. Next try is worth Answer shown after three tries — this one no longer earns credit. You chose to see the answer — this one earns no credit.

Why

Height is 1/5 = 0.2; width from 4 to 5 is 1; area = 0.2.

Correct answer

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